Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.021132 0.022874 0.024691 0.026730 0.028955 0.031310 0.033994
2025-08-31 0.018034 0.020513 0.023242 0.026475 0.030207 0.034388 0.039439
2025-09-07 0.016018 0.018899 0.022199 0.026270 0.031174 0.036909 0.044154
2025-09-14 0.014564 0.017697 0.021404 0.026131 0.032025 0.039168 0.048532
2025-09-21 0.013323 0.016598 0.020580 0.025803 0.032513 0.040898 0.052249
2025-09-28 0.012489 0.015910 0.020172 0.025907 0.033476 0.043199 0.056757
2025-10-05 0.011700 0.015205 0.019669 0.025814 0.034125 0.045075 0.060759
2025-10-12 0.011093 0.014685 0.019353 0.025918 0.035001 0.047255 0.065258
2025-10-19 0.010550 0.014207 0.019048 0.025995 0.035813 0.049357 0.069734
2025-10-26 0.010002 0.013684 0.018645 0.025893 0.036345 0.051064 0.073712
2025-11-02 0.009544 0.013253 0.018335 0.025892 0.036996 0.052949 0.078030
2025-11-09 0.009022 0.012702 0.017821 0.025558 0.037128 0.054061 0.081226
2025-11-16 0.008481 0.012111 0.017240 0.025125 0.037134 0.055051 0.084408
2025-11-23 0.008033 0.011634 0.016802 0.024880 0.037409 0.056469 0.088365
2025-11-30 0.007637 0.011211 0.016417 0.024687 0.037743 0.057979 0.092549
2025-12-07 0.007290 0.010841 0.016089 0.024557 0.038154 0.059616 0.097023
2025-12-14 0.006925 0.010425 0.015667 0.024251 0.038256 0.060747 0.100703
2025-12-21 0.006686 0.010189 0.015509 0.024348 0.039008 0.062965 0.106363
2025-12-28 0.006421 0.009898 0.015248 0.024261 0.039443 0.064670 0.111223
2026-01-04 0.006215 0.009691 0.015106 0.024358 0.040184 0.066921 0.117186
2026-01-11 0.006017 0.009485 0.014956 0.024430 0.040879 0.069122 0.123189
2026-01-18 0.005796 0.009232 0.014717 0.024335 0.041274 0.070809 0.128339
2026-01-25 0.005608 0.009024 0.014538 0.024334 0.041827 0.072799 0.134178